Cure in metastatic breast cancer

Metastatic breast cancer (MBC) has been synonymous with a lethal outcome and is generally considered incurable. Although there has been an improvement in overall survival (OS) during the last decades, survival rates are still low with 5‑year and 10-year survival rates of 27% and 13%, respectively [1].

It is of great interest to define subgroups of patients suffering from this heterogeneous disease that might benefit from different treatment strategies. One special subgroup comprises patients with limited tumor spread lying between localized early breast cancer and disseminated metastatic cancer, termed oligometastatic disease. In particular, oligometastatic tumors are characterized by solitary or few metastatic lesions that are usually limited to a single organ [2]. The 3rd ESO–ESMO (European School of Oncology–European Society for Medical Oncology) International Consensus Guidelines for Advanced Breast Cancer 3 (ABC 3) extended their definition of oligometastatic disease from a solitary organ to low volume metastatic disease with limited number and size of metastatic lesions (up to five and not necessarily in the same organ), potentially amenable for local treatment, aimed at achieving long-term remission [3].

In other tumor entities the goal of cancer treatment has already moved from palliation to cure in distinct oligometastatic patient subgroups. For example in colorectal cancer, long-term remission of oligometastatic lung or liver disease is achievable in a subgroup of patients and this strategy is part of established guidelines [4].

In the commentary “International guidelines of metastatic breast cancer: can metastatic breast cancer be cured?” Pagani et al. discussed appropriate definitions and endpoints [2]. The authors state that complete remission and long-term PFS are usually surrogates for cure in metastatic cancer, but long-term survival might simply reflect an indolent nature of the disease rather than a long-term effect from therapy. Even more so, the lack of a common definition of curative treatment in the metastatic setting challenges the interpretation of the available heterogeneous data.

In order to cure metastatic disease, several approaches are imaginable: (1) locoregional treatment of the primary tumor and all metastatic sites, (2) tumor eradication by excellent systemic anticancer therapy, (3) long-term immunologic tumor control induced by immunotherapy or (4) the combination of these approaches.

Despite good evidence for the resection of liver metastases in other entities like colorectal cancer, data in metastatic breast cancer (MBC) are limited [5]. Several heterogeneous case series [6‐20] report a wide range of survival rates between 22 and 61 months in patients with MBC undergoing liver metastases resection (Table 1). In an update of a single-center experience (n = 51), Ercolani et al. reported a 10-year OS rate of 16% [10]. More than half of these patients (8.9%) were alive without evidence of recurrence since surgery. However, such patient cohorts are highly selected and it is likely that not only the resection itself is responsible for the good outcome but also the indolent course of disease or the specific genetic profile of the tumor and the ability of subclones to metastasize to a certain organ. In the article “Hepatic resection for metastatic breast cancer: an exercise in selection bias” D’Ángelica concluded that retrospective case series need reasonable comparative controls in order to reduce selection bias. Prospective randomized trials would be desirable, but such data are difficult to obtain [21]. In a small prospective data collection of 41 patients undergoing resection of liver metastases, positive resection margins and a short disease-free interval (DFI) until the detection of liver metastases were identified as potential factors associated with poor long-term survival [22].

Similar data are available for metastasectomy of pulmonary lesions [23‐34]. In a systemic review including a meta-analysis, short DFI, incomplete resection of metastases, high number of metastases and negative hormone receptor status were identified as poor prognostic factors [35].

In Austria, a registry of the “Arbeitsgemeinschaft für medikamentöse Tumortherapie” (AGMT) specifically included MBC patients with surgical resection of solitary metastases and will further characterize patients with oligometastatic disease and collect survival data.

In summary, surgery of metastases is still experimental in MBC because valuable data from randomized trials and large cohorts are still missing. Even in the absence of radiologically detectable disseminated disease, MBC is in most of the cases a systemic disease and local treatment alone is not sufficient. However, the given data may help to characterize subgroups of patients with favorable outcome, where surgery could be an option in order to obtain long-term survival.

Of all patients receiving chemotherapy for MBC, only a few patients achieve a radiologic complete response (rCR) and an exceptional long remission [36, 37]. Additionally, those long-term survivors are not depicted in most MBC trials because follow-up is limited. A retrospective analysis including 75 patients aimed to characterize patients with long OS after a rCR [36]. After a median follow-up of 6 years, 28% of patients with rCR were still alive and 86% of those patients had no evidence of disease. In the multivariate analysis, anthracycline treatment and a good WHO performance status were independent predictors for long-term survival. Notably, in a historical cohort from the MD Anderson Cancer Center the percentage of long-term survivors was much lower (1–3%; [37]).

A long-term follow-up analysis reports on 285 patients with single site recurrence (76.5% locoregional, 23.5% distant) who had local treatment followed by chemotherapy. The median follow-up was 121 months and 20-year disease-free survival (DFS) and OS rates of patients with distant metastases were 18% and 21%, respectively [38]. Similar results were published by Kobayashi et al. [39]. In their retrospective analysis of multidisciplinary treatments in 75 patients with one or two organs involved (excluding the primary lesion resectable by surgery), an exceptional median OS of 185 months and a relapse-free interval of 48 months was reported. No disease progression was observed after 101 months of relapse-free survival.

Several phase III clinical trials investigating specific drugs, reported extraordinarily long median OS times. The CLEOPATRA trial, for example, reported a median OS of 56.5 months (95%CI 49.3 months to not reached) with the combination of docetaxel, trastuzumab and pertuzumab as first-line treatment in patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2+) MBC [40]. In estrogen receptor (ER)+/HER2− MBC, the introduction of cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 (CDK4/6) inhibitors led to comparable excitement. The addition to standard endocrine therapy almost doubled median PFS times in all phase III trials published today [41‐46]. Currently, OS data are available from the pilot phase II PALOMA 1 trial only, where patients with ER+/HER2− MBC were treated first-line with palbociclib plus letrozole. The median OS was 37.5 months; however, some patients in this trial are still on this drug combination for now more than 6 years [47].

These trial results suggest that a few patients with MBC can achieve long-term survival (with or without complete remission of the disease), when treated with effective anticancer agents. In general, continuation of therapy is however needed to maintain this success. Therefore, effective systemic maintenance treatments with a favorable toxicity profile are needed to reach cure in the narrower sense of the word. Further long-term studies or high-level registries will help to identify and characterize those patients with exceptional outcomes induced by systemic treatment.

The introduction of checkpoint inhibitors like anti-cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated protein 4 (anti-CTLA4)-, anti-programmed cell death protein 1(anti-PD1)- and anti-programmed cell death protein ligand 1 (anti-PD-L1) antibodies led to a paradigm shift in oncology. In metastatic melanoma, where overall survival was invariably short and mortality was 100%, long-term survival was reached in trials with checkpoint inhibitors. A pooled analysis of 12 trials investigating the CTLA4 antibody ipilimumab including 1861 patients with metastatic melanoma showed a 3-year survival rate of 22% (95%CI 20–24%; [48]). In trials testing anti-PD1- or anti-PD-L1 antibodies or the combination of ipilimumab and anti-PD1 antibodies, the percentage of patients with long-term survival seems to be even higher [49‐51], raising the discussion about the curability of this disease. Encouraging results were also reported in non-small cell lung cancer [52‐54], renal cell cancer [55] and bladder cancer [56, 57].

In MBC, only a few phase I and phase II trials investigating checkpoint inhibitors are available today ([58‐62]; Table 2). Overall response rates (ORR) were moderate, but like in other diseases, durable responses in those patients responding to therapy were reported [58, 59, 63]. The longest follow-up is reported in the phase I trial Keynote-012, investigating the anti-PD1 antibody pembrolizumab as monotherapy in triple-negative MBC [58, 63]. Most of the patients were heavily pretreated with 47% of the patients having more than two prior lines of chemotherapy at study entry. The ORR was 18.5%, and the median OS was 10 months (95%CI 5.3–17.5). However, three of the five (60%) responding patients had long-lasting responses. After a median follow-up of 10.7 months, median duration of response was not reached and ranged from 15 to ≥47 weeks. One patient discontinued pembrolizumab 11 months after achieving complete remission and was still in complete remission 18 months later, without further anticancer therapy. Since the estimated response to chemotherapy in this population ranges from 4 to 12 weeks, these results are promising [64].

Checkpoint inhibitors were also tested in patients with HR-positive MBC. The phase Ib trial Keynote-028 investigating pembrolizumab monotherapy included a cohort of 25 patients with HR-positive MBC. Only 3 patients experienced partial response (ORR 12%); however, the median duration of response was 12.0 months (range, 7.4–15.9 months; [61]). In the phase Ib trial JAVELIN, 58 patients with triple-negative and 72 patients with HR-positive MBC were treated with the anti-PD-L1 antibody avelumab [65]. In the HR-positive subgroup the confirmed ORR was only 3%. Of the 47 patients with a best response of complete response, partial response or stable disease, 14 (30%) remained progression free for ≥24 weeks.

Based on results from the Keynote-012 and Keynote-086 trials, pembrolizumab will probably soon be the first checkpoint inhibitor licensed by the US Food and Drug Administration and the European Medicines Agency for the treatment of MBC. Nevertheless, because of the low percentage of patients benefiting from single-agent checkpoint inhibitor therapy, combination strategies will be required in order to increase the success rate of immunotherapy in MBC.

Locoregional treatment strategies are generally limited to patients with oligometastatic disease. Therefore, patients might benefit from early detection of metastatic disease after early breast cancer treatment. Using sensitive diagnostic tools like positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET-CT; [66]) or liquid biopsies might help to detect metastasis much earlier. Liquid biopsies nowadays allow detection of circulating tumor deoxyribonucleic acid (ctDNA); [67, 68]), circulating tumor cells [69], circulating exosomes [70], circulating micro ribonucleic acids (microRNAs) [71] or tumor-educated blood platelets (TEP; [72]). However, by earlier detection, survival time of patients might falsely increase due to lead time bias [2]. Biological characteristics including molecular breast cancer subtypes, specific mutations or microRNA profiles [73] might additionally help selecting patients for certain specific therapeutic strategies leading to long-term tumor control.

Since for all of these strategies low volume disease increases the success rate, early detection of metastatic disease might be one step forward. New technologies in imaging and liquid biopsies could help in this regard. Finally, only selection of patients for individualized treatment options in an interdisciplinary environment will help to establish a cure for MBC in the future.