Elsevier

Clinical Lung Cancer

Volume 19, Issue 3, May 2018, Pages 260-269.e3
Clinical Lung Cancer

Original Study
Effect of Prophylactic Cranial Irradiation on Overall Survival in Metastatic Small-Cell Lung Cancer: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cllc.2017.12.003Get rights and content

Abstract

Introduction

Patients with small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) have a high incidence of occult brain metastases and are often treated with prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI). Despite a small survival advantage in some studies, the role of PCI in extensive stage SCLC remains controversial. We used the National Cancer Database to assess survival of patients with metastatic SCLC treated with PCI.

Patients and Methods

Metastatic SCLC patients without brain metastases were identified. To minimize treatment selection bias, patients with an overall survival (OS) < 6 months were excluded. Cox regression identified variables associated with OS. Patients were propensity score-matched on factors associated with receipt of PCI or OS. The effect of PCI on OS was examined using Kaplan–Meier estimates.

Results

In the overall cohort (n = 4257), treatment with PCI (n = 473) was associated with improved survival (hazard ratio, 0.66; 95% confidence interval, 0.60-0.74; P < .0001). Comparisons of propensity score-matched cohorts revealed a significant survival benefit for patients who received PCI in median OS (13.9 vs. 11.1 months; P < .0001), as well as 1- and 2-year OS (61.2% vs. 44.0% and 19.8% vs. 11.5%, respectively; P < .0001). This survival benefit persisted even after excluding patients who survived < 9 months (median: 15.3 vs. 12.9 months; P < .0001). In multivariable analysis, predictors of receipt of PCI were Caucasian race, younger age, and lower Charlson–Deyo score.

Conclusion

Using a modern population-based data set, we showed that metastatic SCLC patients treated with PCI have significantly improved OS. This large retrospective study helps address the conflicting prospective data.

Introduction

Small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) comprises approximately 13% of all new lung cancer diagnoses with approximately 31,000 cases annually in the United States.1, 2 SCLC is characterized by its aggressive nature, rapid doubling time, and high metastatic potential. Most patients (60%-70%) present with disseminated, extensive-stage (ES) disease at diagnosis, for which the primary treatment is chemotherapy.3, 4

Small-cell lung cancer has a notoriously high rate of brain metastases, with > 50% of patients developing intracranial involvement over the course of their disease.5, 6 As a result, for patients who respond well to initial chemotherapy, prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI) is used to decrease the risk of brain metastases and the associated neurological morbidity of intracranial progression as shown in multiple meta-analyses.7, 8, 9 In patients with limited-stage disease, there is evidence that PCI decreases the risk of brain metastases and improves survival.8, 9 Therefore, the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines provide a category 1 recommendation to offer PCI in patients with limited-stage SCLC who respond to initial therapy.3

In patients with ES disease, PCI also decreases the risk of developing symptomatic brain metastases,10, 11 but its effect on overall survival (OS) is controversial. PCI appeared to offer a survival benefit in one randomized trial of patients with ES disease who responded to chemotherapy.10 However, this trial has been criticized, because patients were not screened for brain metastases with brain imaging before PCI unless they had neurological symptoms. As a result, some patients likely had brain metastases at the time of PCI and might have achieved a survival benefit through the treatment of known intracranial disease. Per current NCCN guidelines, PCI is generally reserved for patients with an objective clinical or radiographic response to chemotherapy and negative post-chemotherapy brain imaging.3 Interestingly, the results of another recent phase III trial reported that ES-SCLC patients who responded to initial chemotherapy and had a negative brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scan did not have a survival benefit when treated with PCI.11

Because of the disparate results of prospective trials on the role of PCI in ES-SCLC and the low likelihood that additional randomized studies will be performed, we undertook this study to better understand the clinical effect of PCI on survival outcomes using a modern, population-based database at the national level. Although we recognize that prospective randomized controlled trials are the gold standard, we hope that this study adds clinically meaningful data to an area of controversy. We assessed clinical outcomes using the National Cancer Database (NCDB) and propensity score-matching to better elucidate the potential benefits of PCI in patients with ES-SCLC and to help direct the clinical management of these patients. We hypothesized that PCI would confer an OS benefit in patients with ES-SCLC without brain metastases who respond to standard chemotherapy.

Section snippets

Data Source

After obtaining approval from our institutional review board, we conducted a propensity score-matched cohort study using the NCDB. The NCDB is a large national oncology registry sponsored by the American College of Surgeons and the American Cancer Society encompassing > 1500 Commission on Cancer (CoC) institutions. Approximately 70% of new nationwide cancer diagnoses are recorded in this database.12

Patient Selection

Patients with metastatic SCLC without brain metastases treated with chemotherapy between 2010 and

Characteristics of the Overall, Unmatched Study Population

In the overall cohort of patients with metastatic SCLC without brain metastases who survived at least 6 months (n = 4257), 473 patients (11.1%) received PCI, whereas 3784 patients (88.9%) received only chemotherapy without PCI. Among the patients who received PCI, the most common dose fractionation was 25 Gy in 10 fractions (n = 391; 83%). Baseline characteristics of the cohorts are shown in Table 1. Before propensity score-matching, the PCI cohort differed significantly from the no PCI group

Discussion

In this study, we analyzed the survival outcomes of patients with metastatic SCLC treated with or without PCI using the NCDB. To our knowledge, this represents the largest retrospective study to date on the efficacy of PCI in this patient population. We identified 4257 patients with metastatic SCLC without brain metastases and a minimum survival of at least 6 months treated from 2010 to 2012. After propensity score-matching with a median follow-up of 30.4 months, we found that PCI was

Conclusion

This retrospective cohort study further supports the benefits of PCI in patients with ES-SCLC who respond to initial chemotherapy. On the basis of the results of this large, modern, population-based study, PCI might offer a significant OS benefit in the appropriately selected ES-SCLC patient. Further prospective, randomized trials are needed to reconcile divergent reports of the clinical effect of PCI on survival and further guide the management of these patients.

Disclosure

The authors have stated that they have no conflicts of interest.

Acknowledgments

Research reported in this publication was supported by the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences of the National Institutes of Health under award number KL2TR001879. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health.

The data used in this study were derived from a deidentified NCDB file. The American College of Surgeons and the CoC have not verified and are not responsible for the

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      The 1-year overall survival rate in the PCI group was significantly higher than that in the control group (50.8% vs. 42%; HR = 1.50; 95% CI: 1.23–1.82; I2 = 67%; P < 0.0001) (Fig. 2). Two-year OS: A total of 8 studies [5,9–11,19–22] were included in the meta-analysis random-effect model. There was no significant difference in the 2-year overall survival rates in the PCI and non-PCI groups (HR = 1.48; 95% CI: 0.97–2.26; I2 = 91%; P = 0.07) (Fig. 3).

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