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Fracture risk in oral glucocorticoid users: a Bayesian meta-regression leveraging control arms of osteoporosis clinical trials

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Abstract

Summary

Little data exist on the frequency of fracture among oral glucocorticoid users. We examined the effect of oral glucocorticoids on fracture incidence using data from randomized controlled trials. Patients starting glucocorticoids had a higher probability of fracture and decline in bone mineral density compared to chronic glucocorticoid users.

Introduction

Oral glucocorticoids (GCs) are the leading cause of secondary osteoporosis. However, there have been few studies that quantify the rate of fracture among GC users. We sought to provide a pooled estimate of fracture risk from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of GC-treated patients.

Methods

We updated a MEDLINE search published by the American College of Rheumatology through to March 2015 and identified RCTs of osteoporosis therapies that reported fracture and bone mineral density (BMD) among oral GC users. We restricted the analysis to placebo or control arms. RCT arms were stratified by GC exposure at enrolment to GC initiators (≤6 months) and chronic GC users (>6 months). Bayesian meta-regression was used to estimate the annual probability of vertebral fracture (primary), non-vertebral fracture and percentage change in lumbar spine and femoral neck BMD.

Results

The annual incidence of vertebral and non-vertebral fracture was 5.1 % (95 % CrI = 2.8–8.2) and 2.5 % (95 % CrI = 1.2–-4.2) among GC initiators, and 3.2 % (95 % CrI = 1.8–5.0) and 3.0 % (95 % CrI = 0.8–5.9) among chronic GC users. Our meta-regression identified a non-significant effect of group-level variables (mean age, mean BMD, mean GC daily dose, patients with previous vertebral fractures, proportion of women and adjuvant used) on vertebral fracture rate.

Conclusion

Our study found higher vertebral fracture incidence among GC initiators, yet a relative decline in fracture incidence with longer exposure. Our findings suggest that fracture incidence among oral GC users may be more common than previously estimated. Optimizing GC-induced osteoporosis management during early exposure to GC is essential to prevent fractures.

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Abbreviations

GC:

Glucocorticoid

BMD:

Bone mineral density

RCT:

Randomized controlled trial

MCMC:

Markov Chain Monte Carlo

CrI:

Credible interval

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Acknowledgments

MAA is supported by the CAnadian Network for Advanced Interdisciplinary Methods for Comparative Effectiveness Research (CAN-AIM) training scholarship and the Leslie Dan Faculty of Pharmacy Dean’s Entrance Scholarship and was supported by the Drug Safety and Effectiveness Cross-Disciplinary Training scholarship. The funding agencies did not have any role in the design and conduct of the study; analysis, or interpretation of the data; or preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript.

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Correspondence to M. A. Amiche.

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Conflicts of interest

JDA reports having participated in clinical trials sponsored by Procter & Gamble, Amgen and by Merck for the prevention and treatment of glucocorticoid-induced osteoporosis. JDA also reports having received consulting fees and research grants from Actavis, Amgen, Eli Lilly, Merck, and Novartis. MAA, JMA, MT, PP, LEL, and SMC state that they have no conflict of interest.

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Amiche, M.A., Albaum, J.M., Tadrous, M. et al. Fracture risk in oral glucocorticoid users: a Bayesian meta-regression leveraging control arms of osteoporosis clinical trials. Osteoporos Int 27, 1709–1718 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00198-015-3455-9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00198-015-3455-9

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